
+1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.1K
Liquidity
$68K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, $866.5 in 24h volume, and $427.4 in liquidity.
Probability
28%
24h Volume
$866.5
Liquidity
$427.4
This market is asking whether Apple’s stock will trade down to a low of $280 or below at any point during June 2026, based on 1-minute candle data from Pyth. Because the rule looks at the intraday low during regular U.S. market hours, even a brief dip during the session would be enough to settle the market "Yes."
The event is tied to Apple (AAPL), one of the most closely watched U.S. megacap stocks, and the question is whether its regular-session trading range will touch the listed downside threshold in June 2026. Resolution is not based on closing price or on trades outside normal hours; it uses Pyth’s Apple "Low" prices on 1-minute candles, with the market resolving "Yes" if any candle shows a final low at or below $280. The market ends after June 2026, with the stated resolution window running through the end of June and into the first moments of July UTC.
Apple often trades as a high-profile benchmark for technology sentiment, index performance, and large-cap market volatility, so a specific price floor like $280 can draw attention from readers trying to gauge how much downside the stock may see over a one-month period. The disagreement priced here is straightforward: some participants think Apple can stay above that threshold through June, while others think an ordinary selloff, earnings-related move, market-wide volatility, or a sharp intraday swing could briefly push it through. Since the rule is about touching the level, not holding it, the market is more sensitive to short-lived moves than a simple end-of-month comparison.
The biggest price-moving events would be Apple-specific disclosures during June, especially any earnings-related guidance, filings, product announcements, or other official company updates that affect sentiment around AAPL. Broader market moves can matter too, because a strong pullback in large-cap tech or the S&P 500 could drag Apple lower even without company-specific news. For this market, an intraday selloff, a gap down that continues into regular hours, or a volatility spike that briefly sends Apple’s low to $280 or below would be the key kind of move.
Related markets

+1%
24h Vol
$41.1K
Liquidity
$68K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 28% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the exact rule: the source of truth is Pyth’s AAPL/USD 1-minute candle lows, and only regular trading hours on the primary exchange count. Pre-market and after-hours prices do not qualify, and the target price will be adjusted if Apple undergoes a stock split or similar corporate action during the period. Before resolution, it is important to verify the June 2026 intraday low on the Pyth chart and check whether any split-adjusted data or timestamp issue could change how the threshold is applied.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, $866.5 in 24h volume, and $427.4 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
27.5%
No
72.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 28%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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