
+1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.1K
Liquidity
$54.8K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $705 in 24h volume, and $608 in liquidity.
Probability
49%
24h Volume
$705
Liquidity
$608
This market is asking whether Apple’s stock, AAPL, will trade down to $288 or lower at least once during June 2026. Because the threshold is checked against one-minute candle lows, the question is about an intraday dip, not where the shares finish the month.
The outcome depends on Apple Inc. shares during the June 2026 trading window, with resolution set for any regular-session 1-minute candle whose published low is at or below $288. The market does not count pre-market or after-hours trading, and it uses Pyth’s Apple/USD 1-minute low data exactly as shown, without rounding. If Apple has a stock split or similar corporate action during the period, the threshold will be adjusted on a split-adjusted basis.
A level like $288 matters because it is a specific price threshold that can be reached briefly even if the stock later recovers. Traders and observers may disagree about whether Apple’s shares will stay above that line through June, especially given that a single minute of trading can decide the result. The market is effectively pricing the chance that normal intraday volatility, company-specific news, or broader moves in large-cap tech will push AAPL to that exact level.
The most direct drivers are Apple-specific events such as earnings, guidance, product announcements, or regulatory developments, since any of those can shift AAPL sharply within a session. Big moves in the broader market, especially in large-cap growth or the Nasdaq, can also matter because Apple often trades with the wider tech sector. Since the rule is based on an intraday low, even a short-lived selloff during regular hours could be enough to settle the market to Yes.
The current market price implies roughly a 49% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

+1%
24h Vol
$41.1K
Liquidity
$54.8K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact resolution rule, especially the use of Pyth’s 1-minute candle low and the restriction to regular trading hours on the primary exchange. The key source of truth is the Pyth Apple (AAPL) chart for June 2026, and the market will depend on how those historical candles appear after any split adjustment. Because the threshold is precise, the main ambiguity risk is not the closing price but whether any qualifying minute printed a low at or below $288 before July 1, 2026 UTC-based cutoff.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $705 in 24h volume, and $608 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
49%
No
51%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 49%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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