
+2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 64%, $689.8 in 24h volume, and $300 in liquidity.
Probability
64%
24h Volume
$689.8
Liquidity
$300
This market asks whether Apple’s stock, AAPL, will trade down to a 1-minute low of $296 at any point during June 2026. It is worth watching because the outcome depends on a very specific intramonth price touch, not on where Apple finishes the month.
The question is simple: will any regular-session 1-minute candle for Apple show a published Low price at or below $296 sometime between June 1 and June 30, 2026? The market resolves using Pyth data for AAPL on the primary exchange during normal trading hours only, so pre-market and after-hours prints do not count. If Apple has a stock split or similar corporate action during the period, the target and historical prices are adjusted on a split-adjusted basis.
Apple is one of the most closely watched large-cap stocks, and a single intramonth dip can be influenced by earnings, guidance, macro headlines, rates, sector rotation, or broad market selloffs. The market is pricing the disagreement over whether AAPL can avoid a move down to this specific threshold before the June deadline. Because the trigger is a precise low price rather than a closing level, small swings and brief intraday moves matter a lot.
Apple-related events such as earnings, product announcements, legal developments, or guidance changes can quickly alter expectations around where the stock may trade. Broader moves in the Nasdaq, changes in interest-rate expectations, and large one-day market selloffs can also push AAPL toward or away from the $296 level. Since the contract keys off the lowest 1-minute Low during regular hours, even a short-lived intraday drop can change the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 64% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

+2%
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact rule: the source of truth is Pyth’s Apple (AAPL) Low prices on 1-minute candles, not a closing price chart or a different market data feed. The most important details to verify are the June 2026 window, the regular trading-hours restriction, and any corporate-action adjustment if Apple splits its shares. If the displayed Pyth chart and the market page ever seem inconsistent, the resolution rule on the market description controls the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 64%, $689.8 in 24h volume, and $300 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
64%
No
36%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 64%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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