culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
24h Vol
$421.5K
Liquidity
$159.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketWorld
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $51.2K in 24h volume, and $118.3K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$51.2K
Liquidity
$118.3K
This market asks whether Alphabet will be the world’s largest public company by market capitalization at the close on June 30, 2026. That makes it a comparison of one company’s stock value against every other major listed company on that specific date, not a bet on long-term business strength. Because the lead can change quickly with share-price moves, this is one of those corporate-ranking questions that can stay open until the very end.
Alphabet is the parent company of Google, so its size in this market is measured by the total value of its outstanding shares relative to other public companies. The key date is June 30, 2026, and the market resolves based on which company is largest by market cap at the market close on that day. The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting, so readers should pay attention to widely accepted market-cap rankings rather than a single unofficial tracker.
Alphabet has long been among the biggest companies in the world, but the top spot can shift among a small set of mega-cap names as investors move money in and out of major tech stocks. The uncertainty here is not just about Alphabet’s own share price; it is also about whether another company, such as a rival technology or AI leader, stays ahead on the resolution date. That is the disagreement the market is pricing: whether Alphabet can reach and hold first place by June 30.
The biggest price moves will usually come from sharp changes in Alphabet’s stock or in the stock of whichever company is leading the pack. Earnings reports, major product announcements, regulatory decisions, and broad swings in the technology sector can all affect market capitalization because they move share prices and investor expectations. Since the market resolves on a single closing snapshot, even a short-lived lead or a late-session move on June 30 could matter.
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24h Vol
$421.5K
Liquidity
$159.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify which company is listed first by market cap at the June 30, 2026 close, using sources that are clearly credible and broadly consistent with one another. The important details are the exact cutoff time, whether the ranking uses regular market close, and how any ties or class-structure quirks are handled if they arise. Because the source of truth is consensus reporting, any ambiguity in rankings, adjusted share counts, or close-time handling is the main thing to watch before resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $51.2K in 24h volume, and $118.3K in liquidity.
Track live world event prediction markets focused on geopolitics, international relations, global conflicts, diplomacy, and major worldwide developments.
Yes
0.4%
No
99.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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$173.5K
Liquidity
$1M
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
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