
-0.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$835.7K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketWorld
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $4.6K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$4.6K
Liquidity
$0
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $4.6K in 24h volume.
Track live world event prediction markets focused on geopolitics, international relations, global conflicts, diplomacy, and major worldwide developments.
Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any flight departs from Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA) between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At least one departure must have occurred. An announcement that IKA has reopened alone will not qualify. Only the time of takeoff will be considered for this market. Gate departure will not count. The primary resolution source will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OIIE); however, information from IKA and Iranian government, including the Civil Aviation Authority of Iran, will be used.
Related markets

-0.5%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$835.7K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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