Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $1.9K in 24h volume, and $16.1K in liquidity.

Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.

This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.