Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $2K in 24h volume, and $2.4K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$2.4K
This market asks whether Bad Bunny will appear live at the halftime show for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. It matters because FIFA has already said the final on July 19, 2026, at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey will feature the first World Cup halftime show, making the performer lineup a real point of uncertainty rather than a generic rumor.
The specific question is whether Bad Bunny performs in person during the halftime show at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026. Under the rules, any live appearance during the halftime show counts, including a guest spot, even if he does not do a full set. If the show is cancelled, postponed, or pushed past September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves No.
Bad Bunny is a major global music act, but the market is not asking whether he is famous or likely to play big events in general; it is asking whether he is the named performer for this specific halftime show. The uncertainty comes from the fact that FIFA has confirmed the halftime show itself, but not the exact lineup in this market description, so readers are weighing whether Bad Bunny is actually part of the final program.
Any official announcement from FIFA, the event producer Global Citizen, or the artist’s camp naming Bad Bunny would be the clearest price-moving development. A lineup reveal that names someone else, or confirms a different mix of performers, would push expectations the other way. Because the market settles on a live appearance, footage from the halftime show itself is the strongest final evidence, and the resolution rules also allow credible reporting as supporting evidence.
The current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key things to verify are the official halftime-show lineup, whether Bad Bunny is listed as a performer or guest, and whether the event still takes place on the scheduled July 19, 2026 date at MetLife Stadium. The resolution source is footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, with credible reporting used as a backup if needed, so readers should pay attention to exactly who appears on stage. If the show is altered, delayed, or moved beyond the cutoff date, that timing rule matters for settlement even if other details are unclear.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $2K in 24h volume, and $2.4K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
4.5%
No
95.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 19, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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