crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
18%
-17.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$44.6K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $5K in 24h volume, and $15.9K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$15.9K
This market asks a very specific question about Bitcoin’s price behavior during the June 8–14 window: did BTC/USD on Binance print a 1-minute candle with a low at or below $50,000? Because the trigger is a brief intraday touch rather than a closing price, even a short-lived drop matters here.
The event is defined by Bitcoin trading on Binance’s BTC/USDT pair, using the 1-minute chart and the candle ‘Low’ field as the source of truth. It resolves ‘Yes’ if any minute candle from 12:00 AM ET on June 8 through 11:59 PM ET on June 14 shows a low of $50,000 or lower; otherwise it resolves ‘No.’ The end time shown on the market is June 15, 2026 at 04:00:00 UTC, which corresponds to the close of that Eastern Time window.
Bitcoin often trades with fast, volatile moves, so a round-number level like $50,000 can become a focal point for traders watching whether support breaks during a given week. The uncertainty here is not about Bitcoin’s broader trend but about whether Binance’s minute-by-minute data ever tags that exact threshold before the deadline. Since the market uses one exchange and one specific candle format, disagreement centers on how close BTC may get to the level, and whether any brief wick reaches it.
Any sharp intraday move in Bitcoin during the June 8–14 window can change the market, especially a sudden selloff that pushes Binance’s BTC/USDT low to $50,000 or below. News tied to crypto regulation, exchange activity, macro risk sentiment, or large BTC swings can matter if they trigger a fast move on Binance’s spot market. Because the resolution depends on a single low print, a brief spike down is enough even if the price quickly rebounds.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-17.2%
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$44.6K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe key item to verify is the exact resolution source: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the candle ‘Low’ value only. Readers should check the market’s time window in Eastern Time and remember that other exchanges, other pairs, and broader spot averages do not count. If Binance’s charting display or historical candle data is ambiguous near the threshold, the official market rules here should control the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $5K in 24h volume, and $15.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
1.5%
No
98.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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