crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
18%
-17.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$44.6K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $7.1K in 24h volume, and $15.7K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$7.1K
Liquidity
$15.7K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will touch $52,000 at any point during the June 8–14 window, based only on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles. It is a narrow price-level question, so the key issue is not where Bitcoin ends the week, but whether a Binance candle low prints at or below that threshold before the deadline.
The title names Bitcoin and the $52,000 level, which is the trigger for this market. Resolution runs from 12:00 AM ET on June 8 through 11:59 PM ET on June 14, and the market resolves Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle in that period has a final Low of $52,000 or lower; otherwise it resolves No. The end date shown on the page is June 15 at 04:00 UTC, which matches the close of that Eastern Time window.
Bitcoin is volatile enough that even a short date range can test a specific support level, and traders may disagree on whether the market can revisit $52,000 during that week. The uncertainty here is about a precise intraday wick, not a weekly close, so a brief move lower can matter even if Bitcoin later recovers. That is why this market can price a different outcome than a simple view of the broader trend.
The market can move quickly if BTC/USDT on Binance approaches $52,000, especially because the rule cares about the lowest 1-minute candle print rather than the daily close. Sharp selloffs, sudden rebounds, or thin-liquidity swings on Binance can matter more than longer-horizon sentiment because a single touch is enough to settle the market Yes. Conversely, if Bitcoin trades comfortably above the level as the window progresses, the price may stay anchored toward No unless volatility returns late in the period.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-17.2%
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$44.6K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is the exact source of truth: Binance BTC/USDT on 1-minute candles, using the candle Low, not highs, closes, or prices from other exchanges. Readers should also check the time window carefully in Eastern Time, since the market only counts lows from June 8 through June 14 inclusive. Any ambiguity about the candle timestamp, chart setting, or which trading pair is being viewed should be resolved against the market rules, because those rules control the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $7.1K in 24h volume, and $15.7K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
2.5%
No
97.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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