crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
18%
-17.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$44.6K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $11.8K in 24h volume, and $14.5K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$11.8K
Liquidity
$14.5K
This market asks a very specific question: will Bitcoin trade down to $54,000 or lower at any point during June 8–14, 2026? Because the outcome depends on one-minute Binance candles rather than an end-of-day price, even a brief wick to that level would be enough to settle it Yes.
The title refers to Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, and a short date window running from 12:00 AM ET on June 8 through 11:59 PM ET on June 14, 2026. The market resolves Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle in that period has a final Low at or below $54,000; otherwise it resolves No. The resolution date shown on the page is June 15, 2026 at 04:00 UTC, which is when the market is expected to close after the window ends.
Bitcoin can move sharply over a few minutes, so a market like this is really about whether a particular support level gets touched, not whether Bitcoin finishes the week above or below it. Traders and readers may care because round-number levels such as $54,000 often act as reference points in crypto, especially during volatile stretches. The disagreement here is not about Bitcoin’s long-run direction but about whether a fast intraday dip on Binance is likely to happen during this exact week.
Any abrupt swing in BTC/USDT could move this market quickly, especially if Bitcoin sells off on macro news, risk-off trading, large liquidation events, or crypto-specific volatility. Because the rule keys off Binance’s one-minute Low, a short-lived wick, a stop-loss cascade, or thin liquidity on the exchange could be enough to decide the market even if the price rebounds immediately afterward. Conversely, sustained stability above the threshold would keep the market leaning No as the deadline approaches.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-17.2%
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$44.6K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe key source of truth is Binance’s BTC/USDT chart on the 1-minute setting, not spot averages, other exchanges, or broader market indices. Readers should verify the exact resolution window in Eastern Time and remember that the market is decided by the candle Low, not the closing price of the candle or the daily low from another venue. If there is any ambiguity, it will almost always come from which Binance candle falls inside the stated dates and whether the recorded Low is at or below $54,000.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $11.8K in 24h volume, and $14.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
2.6%
No
97.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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