crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
18%
-17.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$44.6K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $31.1K in 24h volume, and $10.3K in liquidity.
Probability
5%
24h Volume
$31.1K
Liquidity
$10.3K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will touch $56,000 at any point during June 8–14, 2026, using Binance BTC/USDT price data as the deciding source. It is worth watching because the answer depends on a single intraday low, so even a brief move on one minute candle can settle the market.
The question is simple: will any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT between 12:00 AM ET on June 8 and 11:59 PM ET on June 14 show a final Low price at or below $56,000? If that happens, the market resolves to Yes; if Bitcoin never prints that low on Binance during the window, it resolves to No. The resolution timestamp in the market data, June 15 at 04:00 UTC, matches the end of the June 14 Eastern Time trading window.
A round-number Bitcoin level like $56,000 is a natural line for traders to watch because price can approach it quickly during volatility and then rebound just as fast. The uncertainty here is not about long-term direction, but about whether BTC/USDT on Binance will briefly trade low enough on any one-minute candle to cross the threshold. The live book shows the market heavily favoring No, with a tight spread, which suggests traders see the drop as possible but not the base case.
Price can move sharply if Bitcoin reacts to exchange-specific flow, macro headlines, or a broader crypto selloff during the June 8–14 window, because the market only cares about Binance BTC/USDT lows. A quick wick down on a 1-minute candle is enough for Yes, even if the price immediately recovers, so thin liquidity periods or sudden volatility matter more than where Bitcoin ends the week. Because the threshold is exact, trading near $56,000 can cause the market price to shift quickly as participants reassess the odds of a brief dip.
The current market price implies roughly a 5% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-17.2%
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$44.6K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe key source of truth is Binance’s BTC/USDT chart with 1-minute candles, and the relevant field is the candle Low, not the close or the daily low from another exchange. Readers should verify the time window in Eastern Time, since the market runs from the start of June 8 through the end of June 14 ET, and only prices inside that window count. The main ambiguity risk is confusion between spot prices elsewhere and Binance’s own data, so only Binance’s listed BTC/USDT lows should be used for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $31.1K in 24h volume, and $10.3K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
5%
No
95%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 5%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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