crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$321.2K
Liquidity
$38.9K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $971.9 in 24h volume, and $8.1K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$971.9
Liquidity
$8.1K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will print a Binance BTC/USDT one-minute low at or below $56,000 on June 7. It is a tightly defined price test, so the question is not where Bitcoin closes for the day, but whether a single one-minute candle on Binance touches the threshold.
The title points to Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, and to a specific date: June 7. Resolution is based only on Binance’s BTC/USDT market, using the one-minute chart and the candle’s final “Low” price anywhere between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on that date. If any qualifying candle shows a low of $56,000 or less, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
The uncertainty here is about whether Bitcoin can briefly fall to that exact level during the day, even if the broader market finishes above it. Because the rule hinges on a single exchange and a one-minute low, traders may disagree not just about Bitcoin’s direction but also about intraday volatility, liquidity, and whether a short-lived wick will appear. The market is therefore pricing the chance of a sharp, momentary dip rather than a simple end-of-day price outcome.
The biggest movers are any Bitcoin-specific swings that could push BTC/USDT toward the threshold during the session, including rapid selloffs, thin liquidity, or sharp reversals after major market moves. Since only Binance’s one-minute lows count, a brief spike down on that venue matters more than the broader cross-exchange average. A candle that just tags $56,000, even for a moment, is enough to settle the market Yes.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$321.2K
Liquidity
$38.9K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact resolution rule carefully: it uses Binance BTC/USDT, one-minute candles, and the candle’s final low price, not closing price, index price, or prices from other exchanges. The relevant time window is the full June 7 ET trading day, and the market settles based on whether any single candle meets or breaks the threshold. The main ambiguity risk is mistaking a different pair, timeframe, or timezone for the source of truth, so Binance’s BTC/USDT 1m chart is the key reference point.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $971.9 in 24h volume, and $8.1K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
0.6%
No
99.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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