crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$163.2K
Liquidity
$22.9K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 66%, $269.1K in 24h volume, and $34.2K in liquidity.
Probability
66%
24h Volume
$269.1K
Liquidity
$34.2K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will print a Binance BTC/USDT one-minute low of $57,500 or lower at any point during June. Because the trigger is based on a single exchange’s candle data, the question is less about where Bitcoin ends the month and more about whether it ever briefly trades down to that level on Binance.
The market resolves by looking at Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles from 12:00 a.m. ET on June 1 through 11:59 p.m. ET on June 30. It pays out “Yes” if any candle in that window has a final low at or below $57,500; otherwise it resolves “No.” The end date shown on the page is July 1, 2026 at 04:00 UTC, which matches the close of the June resolution window in Eastern Time.
Bitcoin often moves in sharp intraday swings, so a level like $57,500 can become meaningful even if the broader trend is uncertain. Traders watching this market are pricing the chance of a fast downside move, not just a gradual decline, which makes the exact exchange and candle rule important. The uncertainty here is whether Bitcoin can touch that level on Binance during the month, since a brief wick is enough to settle the market “Yes.”
The market is most sensitive to any Bitcoin selloff that pushes BTC/USDT down toward the mid-$50,000s on Binance, especially if the move is abrupt enough to create a one-minute low at or below the threshold. Strong rallies away from that level, or a month with relatively calm trading and shallow pullbacks, would make a “No” outcome look more likely. Because the resolution is tied to Binance’s one-minute lows, short-lived volatility spikes matter more here than broader daily closes on other venues.
The current market price implies roughly a 66% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.5%
24h Vol
$163.2K
Liquidity
$22.9K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketReaders should watch Binance’s BTC/USDT spot chart specifically on the 1-minute setting, because the market ignores prices from other exchanges, other pairs, and longer candle intervals. The key source of truth is the final low on each minute candle, so even a brief wick can decide the outcome. If there is any ambiguity, it would likely come from how Binance displays or records the candle low at the end of the minute, so the exact exchange chart and timestamp window are the details to verify.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 66%, $269.1K in 24h volume, and $34.2K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
66.1%
No
33.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 66%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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