crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
22%
-12.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$151.3K
Liquidity
$40.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $22.9K in 24h volume, and $9.8K in liquidity.
Probability
16%
24h Volume
$22.9K
Liquidity
$9.8K
This market asks a very specific question about Bitcoin’s price action on Binance: will any 1-minute BTC/USDT candle print a low at or below $58,000 during June 8–14? Because the resolution is tied to one exchange and one candle format, it is less about where Bitcoin trades broadly and more about whether Binance’s minute-by-minute data ever touches that threshold.
The event window runs from 12:00 AM ET on June 8 through 11:59 PM ET on June 14, and the market resolves from Binance’s BTC/USDT chart using 1-minute candles. If any candle’s final "Low" price is equal to or below $58,000, the market resolves "Yes"; if not, it resolves "No." The key entities are Bitcoin, the BTC/USDT trading pair, Binance as the source of truth, and the exact $58,000 level named in the title.
This market captures uncertainty around whether Bitcoin will briefly trade down to a specific support level during a defined week. Traders may care because a short-lived wick down to a round number can happen even if the broader market does not stay there, and the outcome depends on one exchange’s recorded lows rather than an average across venues. The disagreement being priced is whether BTC can avoid touching that level on Binance at any point in the window.
The market can move if Bitcoin approaches the $58,000 area on Binance during the window, especially if a sharp selloff, volatile macro news, or a fast liquidation move pushes the 1-minute low lower. Because the rule keys off a single candle low, even a brief intraminute wick matters more than the closing price or longer-term trend. Moves in BTC across the broader crypto market may matter only insofar as they show up on Binance BTC/USDT during the specified dates.
The current market price implies roughly a 16% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-12.4%
24h Vol
$151.3K
Liquidity
$40.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketBefore resolution, the most important thing to verify is the exact Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart, since the market ignores other exchanges, other pairs, and longer candle intervals. Readers should check that the time window is interpreted in ET as stated, and that the decision hinges on the candle’s final "Low" price, not the last traded price or daily close. The main ambiguity risk is using the wrong chart settings or a different data source, so Binance’s BTC/USDT 1m candles are the only source of truth.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $22.9K in 24h volume, and $9.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
15.5%
No
84.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 16%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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