crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$320.3K
Liquidity
$43.6K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $13.8K in 24h volume, and $9.5K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$13.8K
Liquidity
$9.5K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will touch $58,000 on June 7, using Binance’s BTC/USDT one-minute candles as the deciding source. It is a narrow price-threshold event, so even a brief intraday wick at or below the level would settle it to Yes.
The title sets a single-day test for Bitcoin: did BTC/USDT trade down to $58,000 or lower at any point on June 7? Resolution is not based on a daily close, an average price, or moves on other venues; it depends only on Binance’s 1-minute candle data for BTC/USDT between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET. The market ends after the date window closes, with the official source of truth being the Binance chart and its recorded low for each minute.
Bitcoin often moves sharply within a day, and a round-number level like $58,000 can matter because traders tend to watch previous support zones, liquidation areas, and psychologically important price marks. The uncertainty here is not about Bitcoin’s long-term direction but about whether the price will briefly probe that exact level on this specific date. That makes the market a question about intraday volatility and whether sellers can push price far enough to print a Binance low at or below the target.
The main things that can change this market are intraday swings in BTC/USDT on Binance, especially fast drops that create a one-minute candle with a low at or below $58,000. A sharp move in broader crypto sentiment, a sudden risk-off shift in markets, or a large liquidation cascade could make that wick more likely, while a calm session with steady buying could keep the low above the line. Because the rule keys off the minute-level low, even a short-lived dip matters more than where Bitcoin spends most of the day.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$320.3K
Liquidity
$43.6K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, the key item to verify is Binance BTC/USDT on the 1-minute chart, not a different exchange, pair, or timeframe. Readers should check the exact cutoff window in ET and remember that the market resolves on the recorded low, so a momentary touch counts even if price rebounds immediately afterward. The main ambiguity risk is using the wrong venue or chart setting, since the rules say only Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle lows determine the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $13.8K in 24h volume, and $9.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
2.8%
No
97.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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