crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$321.2K
Liquidity
$38.9K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 43%, $293.8 in 24h volume, and $410.6 in liquidity.
Probability
43%
24h Volume
$293.8
Liquidity
$410.6
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT one-minute chart will print a low of $61,000 at any point on June 7, ET. Because it resolves off a very specific exchange feed and candle setting, the question is less about where Bitcoin finishes the day and more about whether that exact intraday dip appears on Binance.
The event is tied to Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, and to Binance’s BTC/USDT trading pair. A “Yes” result requires at least one 1-minute candle on June 7, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET, whose final Low is equal to or below $61,000; if that never happens, the market resolves “No.” The deadline is the end of that ET day, with final resolution based on the Binance chart data for BTC/USDT.
Bitcoin often moves sharply within a single session, so a brief wick down to a round number like $61,000 can happen even if the broader trend looks steady. Traders and readers may care because this market captures a very specific downside test rather than a closing price, and those two things can differ a lot. The disagreement here is about whether intraday volatility will be enough to touch that threshold on Binance before the day ends.
The market can move on any price action that makes a $61,000 low on Binance more or less likely: broad crypto weakness, a fast selloff in Bitcoin, or a sudden rebound that keeps the price above the threshold. Since the rule keys off one-minute lows, even a short-lived wick matters, not just the daily trend or where Bitcoin settles later. News that affects crypto risk appetite, leverage, or liquidity can matter indirectly, but only if it translates into that exact Binance low.
The current market price implies roughly a 43% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$321.2K
Liquidity
$38.9K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the resolution source: Binance BTC/USDT on the 1-minute chart, not another exchange, not another pair, and not a daily or hourly candle. Readers should also check the time window carefully, because only candles from June 7 between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET count. The main ambiguity risk is confusing the market’s threshold with a close price; this one resolves on the candle Low, so a brief intraday touch is enough even if Bitcoin later recovers.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 43%, $293.8 in 24h volume, and $410.6 in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
42.5%
No
57.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 43%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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