crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$321.3K
Liquidity
$43.5K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $50 in 24h volume, and $6.5K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$6.5K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will print a Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high of at least $68,000 on June 7. Because the rule is tied to a single exchange and a single intraday candle format, even a brief spike can determine the outcome.
The event here is not Bitcoin’s daily close or its broader spot price range, but one specific Binance chart condition: a 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT with a final High at or above $68,000 at any point from 12:00 AM ET through 11:59 PM ET on June 7. If that happens, the market resolves Yes; if it does not, it resolves No. The resolution source is explicitly Binance’s BTC/USDT trading page with 1-minute candles selected, so the relevant question is whether Binance records that high during the stated day.
Bitcoin is volatile enough that a narrow intraday threshold can be crossed briefly even if the broader day looks quiet, which creates uncertainty around these price-level markets. The disagreement priced here is essentially about whether BTC can touch the named level on Binance during the resolution window, not whether it can finish the day above it. That makes the market sensitive to short-lived moves, exchange-specific pricing, and the exact timing of any sharp rally or selloff.
A fast move in BTC on the day itself is the main driver, especially if price approaches the target level and trades through it for even one minute on Binance. Because the rule relies on Binance’s own BTC/USDT candles, a wick, burst of volatility, or exchange-specific pricing gap can matter more than headline “market price” elsewhere. Traders should also watch the difference between a quick test of $68,000 and a sustained move, since only the Binance 1-minute High needs to reach the threshold.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$321.3K
Liquidity
$43.5K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, the key thing to verify is the exact Binance BTC/USDT chart on the 1-minute timeframe, because other exchanges, other pairs, and other candle settings do not count. Readers should check the resolution window in Eastern Time, since the market only considers candles from June 7 between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET. The main ambiguity risk is assuming a broader Bitcoin price move counts when the rule actually depends on one exchange’s recorded intraday high for one specific trading pair.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $50 in 24h volume, and $6.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
1.1%
No
99%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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