crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
18%
-17.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$41.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $144 in 24h volume, and $15.4K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$144
Liquidity
$15.4K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance will print a 1-minute candle high of at least $76,000 at any point from June 8 through June 14. The date window matters because even a brief intraday spike on Binance is enough to settle it to Yes, while a week of trading below that level resolves it to No.
The event is a simple price-threshold test for Bitcoin, not a forecast about a monthly close or an average price. Resolution depends only on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, using the candle High value during the exact window stated in the title: 12:00 AM ET on June 8 through 11:59 PM ET on June 14, with the market resolving on June 15 at 04:00 UTC. The relevant outcomes are binary: Yes if any qualifying candle reaches $76,000 or higher, otherwise No.
Bitcoin is volatile enough that a single exchange and a one-minute time frame can make a large difference, especially around round-number price levels like $76,000. Readers may care because this market is really about whether BTC can touch a specific psychological and technical threshold within a short, fixed week, rather than where it ends the period. The live market setup shows a very small Yes side and a wide spread, which suggests traders currently see the threshold as a low-probability event but still one that can be repriced quickly if Bitcoin moves sharply.
The market can move if Binance BTC/USDT trades near the target price, since a single 1-minute high at or above $76,000 is enough to flip the outcome. Sharp crypto rallies, large liquidations, or fast moves during U.S. or Asian trading hours would matter more here than a slow drift in price, because the rule only cares about the highest one-minute candle high during the window. Any exchange-specific trading behavior on Binance is especially important, since prices from other venues do not count for resolution.
Related markets
-17.2%
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$41.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, the key thing to verify is the exact Binance BTC/USDT chart behavior on 1-minute candles, not headlines, spot indexes, or prices from other exchanges. Readers should check whether Binance’s displayed High for any candle during the specified UTC/ET window reaches $76,000 or more, and remember that the decision is based on the market’s stated source of truth even if other services show different prints. The main ambiguity risk is confusing a brief wick, a different trading pair, or a non-Binance quote with the actual resolution rule, so the Binance 1m chart is the only reference that matters.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $144 in 24h volume, and $15.4K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
0.7%
No
99.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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