Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $701.4K in 24h volume, and $13.1M in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$701.4K
Liquidity
$13.1M
This market asks whether Bosnia-Herzegovina will be the team lifting the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy. It is a long-horizon sports question tied to one of the hardest titles in international football, so the outcome depends on qualification, tournament performance, and the knockout bracket all the way to the final.
The question is simple: will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? The market resolves to “Yes” only if Bosnia-Herzegovina is the official tournament winner according to FIFA. If they are eliminated at any stage where they can no longer win the title, the market resolves immediately to “No”; if the tournament is canceled or still unfinished by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM, it resolves to “Other”.
Bosnia-Herzegovina is a national team with a real, but highly uncertain, path to a World Cup title, and that uncertainty is what this market prices. The World Cup is a short, high-variance tournament with a large field, and even strong teams can be knocked out quickly; for Bosnia-Herzegovina, the gap between qualifying for the event and actually winning it is especially wide. Readers may care because the market reflects both the team’s tournament chances and the possibility of an early elimination that makes the answer settle to “No” well before the final.
The biggest price-moving developments are Bosnia-Herzegovina’s qualification status, their group-stage schedule, and who they are drawn against in the knockout rounds. Injuries, suspensions, lineup changes, and coaching decisions can matter a lot in a tournament format where one bad match can end the run. Official FIFA results are the key settlement input, so each win, loss, or advancement step changes whether the team still has a path to the title.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market resolves, check Bosnia-Herzegovina’s official FIFA status, the tournament bracket, and whether they are still mathematically alive to win the cup under FIFA rules. The settlement rule says the market can close out early to “No” once the team is eliminated, so the important question is not just whether the World Cup finishes, but whether Bosnia-Herzegovina remains eligible at every stage. The fallback “Other” outcome only matters if the 2026 World Cup is canceled or not completed by October 13, 2026, so that deadline and FIFA’s official tournament results are the main sources to verify.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $701.4K in 24h volume, and $13.1M in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
0.3%
No
99.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 20, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
2%
7/6/2026
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