culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$147.5K
Liquidity
$57.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $388.5K in 24h volume, and $15.2K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$388.5K
Liquidity
$15.2K
This market asks whether Bruno Mars will be the single most-streamed artist on Spotify for 2026. It is tied to Spotify’s year-end Wrapped-style reporting, which is the official place the platform names its top artist for the year.
The event is about Spotify’s 2026 global top artist, not an album, song, or monthly chart. If Spotify’s official year-end report names Bruno Mars as the No. 1 artist for 2026, the market resolves Yes; if another artist is listed, or if Spotify never publishes the 2026 top artist by January 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, it resolves No. The key source is Spotify’s own announcement, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Bruno Mars is a major pop artist with a long-running streaming audience, but Spotify’s annual top-artist crown usually depends on a full year of listening across the platform, not just fame or recent releases. That leaves room for uncertainty about whether he can outpace other global heavyweights by the end of 2026, which is the disagreement this market is tracking.
The biggest price moves would come from Spotify’s official year-end release calendar, any clear signals about the 2026 Wrapped rollout, and whether Bruno Mars appears to be sustaining unusually strong streaming momentum through the year. New music, collaborations, viral catalog spikes, touring visibility, or a competing artist pulling away in global plays could also shift expectations if they change who is likely to finish first.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.2%
24h Vol
$147.5K
Liquidity
$57.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is the exact wording in Spotify’s official 2026 year-end announcement, since the market resolves only to the artist Spotify lists as the top artist for that year. Readers should also watch the deadline carefully: if Spotify has not named a 2026 top artist by January 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market closes to No regardless of informal speculation. Ambiguity is low here, but the resolution depends on Spotify’s own published source, not third-party charts or fan interpretations.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $388.5K in 24h volume, and $15.2K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
1.7%
No
98.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026. If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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