Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $17.6K in 24h volume, and $160.4K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$17.6K
Liquidity
$160.4K
This market asks whether Cadillac will finish the 2026 Formula 1 season as Constructors’ Champion, which means the team would need to score more points than every other F1 entry over the full championship year. It is a long-horizon F1 title question, and the page will settle only after the official result of the final scheduled race of 2026 is known.
The subject is Cadillac’s debut or early presence in the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship, with the outcome tied to the team standings across the season rather than to a single Grand Prix. Under the market rules, the official F1 result for the Constructors’ Championship is the source of truth, and if there is a points tie, F1’s own tiebreak procedure decides the champion. The deadline shown on the market runs to the end of the 2026 season, with a fallback resolution to “Other” if the season is permanently canceled or not completed by March 31, 2027.
This market is about whether Cadillac can turn a full-season campaign into the top team title in Formula 1, which depends on car performance, reliability, strategy, driver results, and how competitive the rest of the grid is. It is especially uncertain because the Constructors’ Championship is cumulative: even a strong team can lose ground through retirements, penalties, or simply slower pace over many races. Readers are effectively asking whether Cadillac can finish ahead of established F1 teams across an entire season, not just whether it can score points or win a race.
News that changes Cadillac’s expected pace for 2026 can matter a lot, especially driver lineup decisions, power-unit or technical partnership details, and any indication of how competitive the car looks in testing or early races. Race-by-race results will also move the market if Cadillac starts piling up points, suffers repeated retirements, or falls too far behind the championship leaders to stay in contention. Because the market resolves to “No” once a team is mathematically eliminated, the standings gap itself can become decisive well before the final round.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is the official F1 Constructors’ standings and whether Cadillac remains mathematically eligible as the season progresses. For settlement, the page points to F1’s official results, so readers should watch the championship table, any official tie-break language applied by F1, and the final classified result of the last scheduled 2026 race. If the season is disrupted or never completed by the stated cutoff date, the market’s special “Other” rule overrides the normal championship outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $17.6K in 24h volume, and $160.4K in liquidity.
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Yes
0.5%
No
99.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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