Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Calvin Harris perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 17%, and $149.7 in liquidity.
Probability
17%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$149.7
This market asks whether Calvin Harris will make a live, in-person appearance at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show. The event matters because FIFA has already confirmed that the final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium will include the tournament’s first World Cup halftime show, so any announced performer or surprise guest becomes relevant to settlement.
The question is narrow: will Calvin Harris perform at the halftime show during the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey? A “Yes” requires a live appearance during the show, and the rules say a guest appearance counts even if he does not perform a full set. If the halftime show is cancelled, postponed, or pushed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “No.”
There is uncertainty because FIFA has confirmed the halftime show itself, but not necessarily the full artist lineup for the final. Calvin Harris is a well-known global pop and dance music performer, so readers are watching whether he is chosen for the high-profile slot or added as a guest. The market is pricing the gap between the confirmed event and the still-uncertain roster of performers.
An official FIFA or Global Citizen announcement naming Calvin Harris, or footage showing him on stage at halftime, would be the clearest catalyst for a “Yes” outcome. By contrast, a published lineup that excludes him, an alternate performer announcement, or a rule change that alters the halftime-show format would push expectations the other way. Because this is a single-event market, even a last-minute guest appearance or a brief on-stage cameo could matter under the settlement rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 17% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should check the official halftime-show presentation, since the market resolves from footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, with credible reporting used as a backup if the footage is unclear. The key details are the date, July 19, 2026, the venue, MetLife Stadium in New Jersey, and the cutoff if the event is delayed past September 30, 2026. One ambiguity to watch is whether Calvin Harris appears live on stage; recorded audio, off-site performance, or a non-live credit would not clearly satisfy the rule as written.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Calvin Harris perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 17%, and $149.7 in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
17%
No
83%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 19, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 17%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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