
-0.1%
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
24h Vol
$59.2K
Liquidity
$227.5K
Spread
0%
7/31/2026
View marketTechnology
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?. The market currently shows a live probability of 40%, and $148 in liquidity.
Probability
40%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$148
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?. The market currently shows a live probability of 40%, and $148 in liquidity.
Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.
Yes
40%
No
60%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
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-0.1%
24h Vol
$59.2K
Liquidity
$227.5K
Spread
0%
7/31/2026
View marketProbability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 40%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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