
-5.9%
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
24h Vol
$71.1K
Liquidity
$29.6K
Spread
0%
7/31/2026
View marketTechnology
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?. The market currently shows a live probability of 99%, $8.5K in 24h volume, and $1.6K in liquidity.
Probability
99%
24h Volume
$8.5K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Current
98.6%
Change
+55.1%
High
98.6%
Low
30.5%
Yes moved from 43.5% to 98.6% over the full available history, trading between 30.5% and 98.6%.
Yes price history from Polymarket CLOB.
28 points
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?. The market currently shows a live probability of 99%, $8.5K in 24h volume, and $1.6K in liquidity.
Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.
Yes
98.6%
No
1.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 26, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Related markets

-5.9%
24h Vol
$71.1K
Liquidity
$29.6K
Spread
0%
7/31/2026
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 99%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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