
-0.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
24h Vol
$827.8K
Liquidity
$437.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, $428.8 in 24h volume, and $1.2K in liquidity.
Probability
28%
24h Volume
$428.8
Liquidity
$1.2K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, $428.8 in 24h volume, and $1.2K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
27.5%
No
72.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Related markets

-0.1%
24h Vol
$827.8K
Liquidity
$437.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 28%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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