
+0.2%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$87.4K
Liquidity
$123.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $3.2K in 24h volume, and $2.4K in liquidity.
Probability
24%
24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$2.4K
This market asks whether Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) will trade as high as $195 at any point during June 2026, using Pyth’s 1-minute candle data. It is worth watching because Coinbase is a widely followed crypto exchange stock, and a move to that level would require a meaningful intramonth rally during regular U.S. trading hours.
The outcome is tied to Coinbase Global, Inc. common stock and not to crypto prices directly. The market resolves “Yes” if any 1-minute candle for COIN in June 2026 shows a final High price at or above $195, based on Pyth’s Equity.US.COIN/USD data; it resolves “No” if that level is never reached during the month. Only regular trading hours count, so pre-market and after-hours prints do not matter for resolution.
The key uncertainty is whether COIN can reach a specific price threshold within a limited calendar window. Coinbase is a volatile name that can react to broader market conditions, crypto sentiment, earnings expectations, regulation, and risk appetite, but the market is focused on one exact intramonth high rather than where the stock closes in June. That creates a simple disagreement: will the stock briefly touch $195 before the month ends, or will it fall short?
For a market like this, the most relevant drivers are Coinbase-specific earnings, guidance, trading-volume expectations, and any company filings or strategic announcements that could change how investors value the stock. Broader moves in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the rest of the crypto market can also matter because Coinbase’s business is closely linked to trading activity and crypto market sentiment. Large moves in the overall equity market, especially in high-growth or crypto-linked stocks, can make the difference between missing and hitting a short-term price level.
The current market price implies roughly a 24% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+0.2%
24h Vol
$87.4K
Liquidity
$123.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe resolution rule is narrow: check the Pyth source for COIN’s 1-minute High prices during June 2026 regular trading hours only, and ignore pre-market or after-hours data. The target is split-adjusted if a stock split or similar corporate action occurs, so readers should verify whether any adjustment has been applied before comparing prices. The deadline runs through the end of June 2026, with the market settling after the month closes, so the main ambiguity risk is not the calendar date but whether the recorded Pyth candle high reaches the threshold exactly as published.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $3.2K in 24h volume, and $2.4K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
24%
No
76%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 24%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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