Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 34%, $100.3 in 24h volume, and $361 in liquidity.
Probability
34%
24h Volume
$100.3
Liquidity
$361
This market asks whether Coldplay will take part in the halftime show at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. It is tied to a very specific stage: the final match on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey, which FIFA has confirmed will include the first World Cup halftime show. Because the show is a one-time, highly visible event, any confirmed appearance or change to the lineup could matter a lot.
The question is simple: will Coldplay perform live and in person during the halftime show at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? A yes requires an actual live appearance during the show, and the rules say even a guest appearance counts, so the band does not necessarily need to play a full set. If the event is canceled, postponed, or pushed beyond September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.
There is uncertainty because FIFA has confirmed the halftime show itself, but the exact performer lineup is what remains in question. Coldplay is a globally known live act, so readers may care whether the band is attached to one of the biggest sports broadcasts in the world. The market is essentially pricing disagreement over whether Coldplay will be selected, stay confirmed, and actually appear on the day.
Official announcements from FIFA, Global Citizen, or Coldplay would be the clearest signals, especially anything naming performers for the halftime show. Any change to the event format, production plan, or final-day entertainment schedule could also affect expectations, since the market only resolves to Yes if there is a live in-person appearance during halftime. If the World Cup Final itself changes date or venue, that would matter too because the contract has a specific cutoff for postponement beyond September 30, 2026.
The current market price implies roughly a 34% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key source of truth is footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, with credible reporting used as backup if needed. Before resolution, readers should verify the final event date, whether the halftime show still exists as planned, and whether Coldplay is explicitly included in the official lineup or visibly appears on stage. The biggest ambiguity risk is whether a brief cameo, guest spot, or partial appearance counts, but the rules say any live appearance during halftime qualifies as a Yes.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 34%, $100.3 in 24h volume, and $361 in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
33.5%
No
66.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 19, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 34%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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