Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $4.9M in 24h volume, and $4.3M in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$4.9M
Liquidity
$4.3M
This market asks whether Congo DR will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, one of the hardest trophies in world football to capture. Because the tournament has a large field and a knockout structure, any team’s path depends on both qualification and surviving multiple elimination rounds against elite opponents.
The question is simple: will the Democratic Republic of the Congo, listed here as Congo DR, finish the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the champion? The market resolves to Yes only if that national team is officially recorded by FIFA as the winner of the tournament. If Congo DR is eliminated at any point in a way that makes it impossible for them to win, the market resolves immediately to No; if the tournament is canceled or still unfinished by October 13, 2026, the outcome is Other.
This market is about a very long-shot sporting outcome with a lot of uncertainty, even before the final tournament field is known. Congo DR would need to navigate qualification and then beat the deepest national teams in the world across the World Cup’s group and knockout stages, so the market is pricing the gap between a remote possibility and a clearly defined settlement rule.
The biggest price moves will come from Congo DR’s route to the tournament, then from how they perform in qualifying, the draw, and the final squad selection. Injuries to key players, coaching changes, or a difficult group and knockout path could quickly reduce the already small chance implied here, while an unexpectedly strong qualifying campaign or favorable bracket could make the market slightly less one-sided. Once the World Cup begins, every elimination or advance by Congo DR would matter directly under the rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should watch FIFA’s official tournament results, because the market settles on the team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The important cutoff is whether Congo DR is still mathematically alive to win; if they are eliminated from contention, the market resolves No without waiting for the final. One detail to verify is the tournament’s completion status by the stated deadline of October 13, 2026, since an unfinished or canceled event resolves to Other rather than Yes or No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $4.9M in 24h volume, and $4.3M in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 20, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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