Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $892.7K in 24h volume, and $10.4M in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$892.7K
Liquidity
$10.4M
This market asks whether Czechia will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the biggest tournament in international men’s soccer. It is a long-horizon question because Czechia must first qualify, then survive multiple knockout rounds against stronger and deeper national teams from around the world.
The outcome is tied to the official winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which will be played under FIFA’s rules and resolved from FIFA’s final result. If Czechia is eliminated at any stage of the tournament, the market resolves to “No” immediately because it would then be impossible for them to win. If the tournament is canceled or still not completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM, the market resolves to “Other.”
This market centers on a very specific competitive question: can Czechia navigate World Cup qualification, the group stage, and the knockout bracket all the way to a title? That is a meaningful uncertainty because World Cup winners are usually among the sport’s deepest and most established powers, and a single injury, poor draw, or early elimination can end the case for an underdog quickly. Readers watching this market are really tracking whether Czechia can even remain alive deep into the tournament, since the rules make early elimination decisive.
Price movement will mostly come from Czechia’s qualification status, squad selection, injuries, and the official World Cup draw, because those factors shape how plausible a title run looks. During the tournament, confirmed lineup news, suspension issues, match results, and whether Czechia advances from each round will matter far more than general speculation. Any official FIFA update that changes the schedule, format, or completion status of the 2026 tournament could also affect the resolution path.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key things to verify are FIFA’s official tournament results, Czechia’s qualification and elimination status, and the final completion deadline in the market rules. Because the market settles immediately to “No” once Czechia is mathematically out, readers should pay close attention to knockout-stage outcomes rather than only the final match. The “Other” outcome is also important here: if the tournament is canceled or still unfinished by October 13, 2026, that deadline controls settlement instead of an eventual champion.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $892.7K in 24h volume, and $10.4M in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
0.3%
No
99.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 20, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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