Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $1.6K in 24h volume, and $156.4 in liquidity.
Probability
6%
24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$156.4
This market asks whether Daddy Yankee will make a live in-person appearance at the first FIFA World Cup final halftime show, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. It is worth watching because the event is tied to one of the biggest stages in global sports, and the rule here is very specific about what counts as a qualifying performance.
Daddy Yankee is the Puerto Rican reggaeton star behind some of the genre’s most recognizable crossover hits, so his name carries real weight in a halftime-show lineup. The market resolves to Yes only if he performs live and in person during the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, including a guest appearance; anything short of a live appearance counts as No. If the final halftime show is canceled, postponed, or pushed beyond September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market also resolves No.
There is uncertainty because FIFA has confirmed the halftime-show concept, but not this specific performer. Readers care because halftime shows are usually driven by production choices, guest availability, and last-minute lineup changes, and those decisions can determine whether a named artist appears at all. The market is pricing the gap between a confirmed event and an unconfirmed performer.
Any official announcement naming Daddy Yankee as part of the halftime-show lineup would be the clearest reason for the market to move toward Yes. A press release, promotional poster, or other credible confirmation from FIFA, Global Citizen, or the event organizers would matter more than speculation. On the other side, confirmations of a different lineup, reporting that he is not involved, or signs that the halftime show format is changing could push it toward No.
The current market price implies roughly a 6% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key dates are July 19, 2026 for the World Cup final and September 30, 2026 as the latest date the event can be delayed before this market auto-resolves No. Because the settlement source is footage of the halftime show, the important question is whether Daddy Yankee is visibly part of the live performance, not whether he was rumored, advertised earlier, or involved behind the scenes. Readers should also watch for any ambiguity around guest appearances, since the rules count those as Yes if he appears live in the show.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $1.6K in 24h volume, and $156.4 in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
6.3%
No
93.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 19, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 6%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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