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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
24h Vol
$131.7K
Liquidity
$117.6K
Spread
0%
7/3/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Dark Winds: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 35%, $56.6 in 24h volume, and $58 in liquidity.
Probability
35%
24h Volume
$56.6
Liquidity
$58
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Dark Winds: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 35%, $56.6 in 24h volume, and $58 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
35%
No
65%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
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24h Vol
$131.7K
Liquidity
$117.6K
Spread
0%
7/3/2026
View marketProbability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 35%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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