sports
⚡ Tight
79%
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Roman Safiullin vs. Joao Fonseca: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca
24h Vol
$419.1K
Liquidity
--
Spread
1%
7/16/2026
View marketSports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Dayana Yastremska win the 2026 Women’s US Open?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $3.7K in 24h volume, and $13.5K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$13.5K
This market asks whether Dayana Yastremska will win the 2026 U.S. Open women’s singles title. The U.S. Open is one of tennis’s four major tournaments, so the winner is decided over a long, high-pressure event in New York rather than a single match. Because the field is deep and the tournament is still far away, the question is really whether Yastremska can survive multiple rounds against the top players and finish as champion.
The market settles on the official winner of the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. The tournament is scheduled for August 23 through September 13, 2026, and the market is specifically tied to that women’s singles title, not doubles or any other draw. If Yastremska is mathematically or officially eliminated at any point under tournament rules, the market resolves to No; if the event is canceled, pushed past October 31, 2026, or ends without a declared winner, it resolves to Other.
Dayana Yastremska is an established tour player, but winning a Grand Slam requires a title run across seven matches against a full field that usually includes multiple higher-seeded contenders. That creates real uncertainty even for strong players, especially in a tournament where form, draw position, match fitness, and day-to-day execution can matter a lot. The market is pricing the gap between simply being a capable entrant and actually winning one of the hardest titles in tennis.
The biggest price moves would come from Yastremska’s status in the build-up to the tournament: whether she is healthy, playing regularly, and performing well on hard courts, which are the U.S. Open surface. At the event itself, each round matters; a difficult draw, an early upset, or a withdrawal can quickly change the outlook, while a deep run through the second week would make the market more plausible. Official entry lists, seedings, and any confirmed injury or withdrawal news are especially important for a market like this.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$419.1K
Liquidity
--
Spread
1%
7/16/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the official U.S. Open site for the women’s singles draw, match results, and the final declared champion, since those are the primary settlement signals. It is also worth checking whether Yastremska is still in the draw and advancing, because elimination under tournament rules is enough for the market to resolve No. The main ambiguity risk is timing: if the tournament is delayed or unusual scheduling changes push resolution beyond the stated October 31, 2026 cutoff, the market’s fallback rule matters more than general assumptions about the event calendar.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Dayana Yastremska win the 2026 Women’s US Open?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $3.7K in 24h volume, and $13.5K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
0.4%
No
99.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Sep 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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