sports
⚡ Tight
99%
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Roman Safiullin vs. Joao Fonseca: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca
24h Vol
$647.6K
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/16/2026
View marketSports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s US Open?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $24.9K in 24h volume, and $14.8K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$24.9K
Liquidity
$14.8K
This market asks whether Diana Shnaider will win the 2026 U.S. Open women’s singles title in New York. The U.S. Open is one of tennis’s four Grand Slam tournaments, so this is a straightforward but high-stakes question about who can navigate a two-week draw and come out as champion.
The named player here is Diana Shnaider, and the event is the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament, scheduled for August 23 to September 13, 2026. The market resolves to “Yes” only if Shnaider wins the women’s singles title; otherwise it resolves to “No,” unless the tournament is canceled, pushed past October 31, 2026, or ends without a winner, in which case it resolves to “Other.” The primary source for settlement is the official U.S. Open site, with credible consensus reporting available if needed.
Even elite players face a difficult path at a Grand Slam because the draw can change quickly with upsets, injuries, and matchup problems. Diana Shnaider’s chances depend not just on her own form, but on whether she can survive seven matches against the strongest field in women’s tennis on a hard court. That leaves room for disagreement about whether she is a serious title threat or a long shot in a deep event.
Price movement will usually follow anything that changes Shnaider’s projected path in the draw: injury news, withdrawals, seeding changes, and the release of the official bracket. Results in the warm-up tournaments before the U.S. Open can also matter because they give a read on form and fitness. Once the tournament begins, each round can move the market sharply, especially if Shnaider draws a top contender early or produces a run through the later rounds.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$647.6K
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/16/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the official U.S. Open women’s singles result, since that is the settlement source named in the rules. Before the tournament begins, readers should check whether the event stays on schedule, whether Shnaider is entered in the draw, and whether any rule change or postponement affects the October 31, 2026 cutoff. The main ambiguity risk is any unusual tournament disruption or an official outcome that is not immediately reflected in outside reporting, so the final call should follow the U.S. Open’s declared champion.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s US Open?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $24.9K in 24h volume, and $14.8K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
1.4%
No
98.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Sep 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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