crypto
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Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$134.3K
Liquidity
$38.7K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $10.4K in 24h volume, and $39.5K in liquidity.
Probability
24%
24h Volume
$10.4K
Liquidity
$39.5K
This market asks whether Ethereum’s ETH/USDT price on Binance will trade down to $1,000 at any point before the end of 2026. It is worth watching because the answer depends on a very specific exchange data feed, not on broader averages across crypto markets, so a brief move on Binance alone can settle it.
The event is about Ethereum, the native asset of the Ethereum network, and whether Binance’s ETH/USDT 1-minute candles will show a low price at or below $1,000 between November 24, 2025 at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET. If any one of those one-minute candles records a final Low price at or below the title threshold, the market resolves Yes; if not, it resolves No. The market closes at the end of that window, with resolution expected from the Binance ETH/USDT chart using 1-minute candles.
Ethereum has had large drawdowns before, and the $1,000 level is a psychologically important round number that many traders watch as a stress test for the asset. The uncertainty here is not just about where ETH finishes in late 2026, but whether it will ever briefly touch that level on Binance, even for a minute, during the resolution window. That makes the market a bet on downside volatility as much as on the longer-term direction of ETH.
The market can move on any sign that ETH is getting closer to or farther from a deep selloff, especially sharp broad-market crypto declines that push Binance spot prices lower. Because the rule cares only about Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute lows, intraday volatility, thin liquidity, exchange-specific price gaps, and fast wick-like moves matter more here than end-of-day closing prices. Any developments that change Ethereum’s risk sentiment, or that affect Binance trading behavior and liquidity, can also change the odds quickly.
The current market price implies roughly a 24% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-5.1%
24h Vol
$134.3K
Liquidity
$38.7K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should watch the exact Binance ETH/USDT page and make sure the chart remains on 1-minute candles, since that is the stated source of truth. The critical detail is the candle Low, not the last trade, daily close, or prices from other exchanges and pairs; those will not count under the rules. The end time is fixed in ET, and the market will only resolve Yes if the threshold is reached sometime inside that window, so the main ambiguity to verify is whether a Binance candle genuinely printed a Low at or below $1,000.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $10.4K in 24h volume, and $39.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
23.5%
No
76.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 24%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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