crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
22%
-10.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$156.6K
Liquidity
$39.8K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $3 in 24h volume, and $3.2K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$3
Liquidity
$3.2K
This market asks whether Ethereum will print a Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle with a low at or below $1,200 during June 8 through June 14. Because the resolution comes from a single exchange’s intraday candle data, even a brief wick matters, not just where ETH closes the week.
The event is narrowly defined around Ethereum’s spot price on Binance, using the ETH/USDT trading pair and the 1-minute chart. If any candle from 12:00 AM ET on June 8 through 11:59 PM ET on June 14 has a final Low price of $1,200 or less, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No. The end timestamp shown for the market corresponds to the close of that window, so readers should focus on Binance’s minute-by-minute low values rather than broader market averages.
Ethereum can move sharply during a week because of macro headlines, crypto-specific sentiment, liquidations, or sudden trading pressure, and those moves can show up as fast dips even if the price later rebounds. This market is pricing a simple but specific disagreement: whether ETH will touch a deep enough downside level on Binance during that exact date range. The low liquidity shown on the page means the quote can be sensitive to small trades and order-book changes, which can matter for a threshold this far below or above the market.
The market can shift if ETH weakens broadly and approaches the $1,200 level, especially during periods of higher volatility or forced selling. It can also move on any event that changes short-term trading pressure on Binance specifically, since only Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute lows count for resolution. Because the trigger is a single candle low, brief spikes downward, thin liquidity, or rapid liquidation wicks are more important here than the day’s final price.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-10.9%
24h Vol
$156.6K
Liquidity
$39.8K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe source of truth is Binance’s ETH/USDT chart set to 1-minute candles, and the final Low field on each candle is what matters. Readers should verify the exact ET window in the title, the $1,200 threshold, and that the data comes from Binance rather than another exchange or spot reference price. The main ambiguity risk is assuming a broader ETH price feed will count; for this market, only Binance’s minute candles during the stated dates decide the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 June 8-14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $3 in 24h volume, and $3.2K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
1.9%
No
98.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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