crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
100%
+1.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?
24h Vol
$279.5K
Liquidity
$54.1K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 82%, $9.9K in 24h volume, and $41.3K in liquidity.
Probability
82%
24h Volume
$9.9K
Liquidity
$41.3K
This market asks whether Ethereum will trade down to $1,500 on Binance at any point before the end of 2026. The question matters because $1,500 is a sharp drawdown level for a large crypto asset, and this contract is watching for an actual print on Binance rather than an average price or end-of-day close.
The title sets the threshold at $1,500, and the resolution rules make the test very specific: if any Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle has a final low at or below $1,500 between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET, the market resolves Yes. If that never happens during the stated window, it resolves No. The end date shown on the market page is January 1, 2027 at 05:00 UTC, which matches the ET cutoff in the description.
Ethereum is one of the most watched crypto assets, so a question about whether it can revisit a lower price level draws in people following macro conditions, crypto risk sentiment, and exchange-traded speculation. The market is really pricing disagreement about whether ETH can suffer a deep enough selloff, at least on Binance’s ETH/USDT pair, to touch that threshold during the resolution window. The live book currently leans toward Yes, which suggests traders see that downside as more likely than not under these rules.
Price can move quickly if Ethereum experiences a broad crypto selloff, sharp changes in risk appetite, or a large one-minute wick on Binance that reaches the threshold even briefly. Because the contract keys off the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute low, a fast intraday move matters more here than a weekly average or closing price elsewhere. Any event that changes ETH volatility, liquidity, or exchange-specific trading behavior can matter if it affects that exact candle data.
The current market price implies roughly a 82% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+1.3%
24h Vol
$279.5K
Liquidity
$54.1K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketReaders should watch the Binance ETH/USDT chart with the 1-minute timeframe selected, since that is the sole source of truth for settlement. The key detail is the candle low, not the last traded price, daily close, or prices on other exchanges or trading pairs. The main ambiguity risk is procedural rather than economic: if Binance’s chart data, timestamp handling, or candle formatting ever becomes unclear, the market rules still point back to Binance’s own ETH/USDT 1m low during the stated ET window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 82%, $9.9K in 24h volume, and $41.3K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
82.1%
No
18%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 82%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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