crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
18%
-17.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$44.6K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $8.1K in 24h volume, and $4.5K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$8.1K
Liquidity
$4.5K
This market asks whether Ethereum (ETH) will briefly trade down to $1,600 on June 8, using Binance’s one-minute ETH/USDT candles as the deciding record. It is a narrow price-threshold question, so the main issue is not where ETH closes the day, but whether any single Binance minute shows a low at or below that level.
The title sets a clear target: Ethereum dipping to $1,600 on June 8. Resolution is based only on Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candles between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET, and the market resolves Yes if any candle’s final Low is equal to or below $1,600. If no such Binance minute appears during that window, the result is No.
ETH can move sharply within a single day, and a threshold like $1,600 matters because it captures short-lived selloffs as well as broader downside. The market is really pricing disagreement over whether that specific level will be touched at all during the day, not whether Ethereum ends the session below it. Because the rules use a very exact source and time window, small intraday swings can change the outcome even if the broader market looks stable.
The biggest drivers are sudden intraday moves in ETH/USDT on Binance, especially sharp selloffs, liquidity thinning, or volatility around major crypto headlines. Because the rule cares about a one-minute Low, even a fast wick below $1,600 can settle the market on the Yes side. Conversely, if ETH remains comfortably above that level on Binance through the full ET trading day, the market should drift toward No.
The current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-17.2%
24h Vol
$150.8K
Liquidity
$44.6K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the source of truth: Binance ETH/USDT only, with the chart set to 1-minute candles, and the Low field specifically determining the result. Readers should also note the deadline window in Eastern Time, since the market ends with the June 8 calendar day in ET even though the posted end time is overnight in UTC. The main ambiguity risk is using another exchange, another pair, or a different candle interval, none of which count for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $8.1K in 24h volume, and $4.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
4%
No
96%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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