
--
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$546.8K
Liquidity
$247.3K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $9.5K in 24h volume, and $78.8K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$9.5K
Liquidity
$78.8K
This market asks whether CME Gold futures, using the Active Month contract, will settle at or above $10,000 on any trading day before the end of June 2026. It is a high threshold for a contract that is normally watched as a benchmark for gold pricing, so the market is really about whether gold can make an exceptionally large move before the deadline.
The exact question is whether the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures reaches $10,000 or higher by the final trading day of June 2026. The Active Month is the nearest eligible delivery month in CME’s gold futures cycle, and it shifts automatically according to CME’s contract rules, so the contract being tracked can change over time. A “Yes” only requires one qualifying settlement on an included trading day; otherwise the market resolves “No.”
There is uncertainty because this market depends on a specific futures settlement, not just intraday spikes or broad commentary about gold prices. Traders and readers may care because the title sets an unusually high price level, and the question is whether gold futures can reach that official CME benchmark before the June 2026 cutoff. The disagreement being priced is over whether such an extreme settlement is plausible within the deadline given how the contract is defined.
The biggest price-moving events here are official developments that can change gold’s settlement trajectory: central bank decisions, inflation data, major U.S. macro releases, or other market-moving announcements that affect the dollar, rates, and gold demand. Because the rule keys off CME’s official settlement for the Active Month, a move in the underlying futures contract that is large enough to close at or above $10,000 would matter; intraday highs alone would not. Contract-roll timing also matters, since the market follows whichever month is the Active Month under CME’s rules on each trading day.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$546.8K
Liquidity
$247.3K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should check the CME settlement page for Gold (GC) futures and confirm which contract month is the Active Month on each relevant day. The resolution depends only on the first published official settlement price for that Active Month, and later corrections do not count under the rules provided. The deadline is the final trading day of June 2026, so weekends and CME closures are ignored, and the main ambiguity to watch is whether a settlement is officially published at or above the threshold on an eligible trading day.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $9.5K in 24h volume, and $78.8K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.2%
No
99.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+10.8%
24h Vol
$153.2K
Liquidity
$137.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$76K
Liquidity
$47.8K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market
-0.1%
24h Vol
$32.1K
Liquidity
$124.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
+2.5%
24h Vol
$16K
Liquidity
$7.5K
Spread
3%
Live
View market
+0.9%
24h Vol
$29.3K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market