
+1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.1K
Liquidity
$63.4K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $57.9K in 24h volume, and $28.9K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$57.9K
Liquidity
$28.9K
This market asks whether CME Gold futures will print a settlement at or above $5,400 at any point before the end of June 2026. Because the contract is tied to the official CME settlement for the active Gold (GC) month, the answer depends on a specific exchange reference price rather than intraday trading spikes.
Gold (GC) is the CME futures contract for gold, and the market is watching the active month contract that CME designates as the front relevant month under its rolling rules. The question is simple in plain English: will the official CME settlement price for that active Gold futures month reach $5,400 or higher on any trading day from market creation through the final trading day in June 2026? The deadline is June 30, 2026, and only the first published official settlement for each eligible trading day counts.
The uncertainty here is about how far gold prices can run before the end of June 2026 and whether the exchange settlement will ever cross a very high threshold. Gold often reacts to inflation expectations, interest-rate outlooks, currency moves, and broader risk sentiment, so a large round-number target like $5,400 invites disagreement about whether the move is plausible in that window. The market is pricing that uncertainty into a yes-or-no outcome tied to a single CME-defined price benchmark.
The main things that can move this market are changes in the official CME Gold active-month settlement price, especially if the front-month contract trends sharply higher or briefly settles above $5,400. A contract rollover can matter because the market follows CME’s active-month definition, so readers should watch which delivery month is considered active at any point and whether that month’s settlement clears the threshold. Since only official settlements count, a strong intraday rally will matter only if it survives into the published CME settlement.
Related markets

+1%
24h Vol
$41.1K
Liquidity
$63.4K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, check the CME settlement page for the active-month Gold (GC) contract and confirm the exact settlement price CME first publishes on each trading day. The rules exclude weekends, holidays, closures, intraday highs, and any later correction or update after the initial settlement is posted, so the source and timestamp matter. It is also important to verify which contract month is active under CME’s delivery-cycle rules, because the market resolves against that active month rather than just any Gold futures price.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $57.9K in 24h volume, and $28.9K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.9%
No
99.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price on any trading day between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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