
-0.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?
24h Vol
$116.9K
Liquidity
$164.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $162.2K in 24h volume, and $175.8K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$162.2K
Liquidity
$175.8K
This market asks whether CME Gold futures will print an unusually high official settlement price by the end of June 2026. Because it is tied to the CME’s published settlement for the active front-month Gold (GC) contract, the result depends on an official exchange benchmark rather than intraday trading swings.
The question is whether the official CME settlement price for the active month in Gold (GC) futures reaches $6,200 or higher on any trading day before the final trading day of June 2026. Gold futures trade in specific delivery months, and the market uses CME’s definition of the “Active Month,” which can change automatically as the contract rolls from one eligible month to the next. Only the first official settlement price CME publishes for that day counts, and the market resolves from CME’s settlement page.
The uncertainty here is not just whether gold can move, but whether the exchange’s benchmark settlement for the relevant GC contract can reach a very high threshold by a fixed deadline. Traders may disagree on how far gold prices can climb, how quickly they can do it, and whether the active contract month will settle at or above the listed level before the June 2026 cutoff. The disagreement is about a specific official price print, not about headlines, spot quotes, or intraday peaks.
Moves in the underlying gold futures curve, especially the active front month, are the main driver because the contract must settle at or above $6,200 for a Yes outcome. Changes in expectations for inflation, interest rates, central bank demand, and broader risk sentiment can all affect gold futures pricing, but only the CME settlement for the active GC month matters here. A contract roll, a sharp rally or selloff in the active month, or a settlement close to the threshold would be especially relevant to this market.
Related markets

-0.1%
24h Vol
$116.9K
Liquidity
$164.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should verify CME’s active month for Gold (GC) on each trading day and check the official CME settlement page, since that is the source of truth. The market ignores weekends, holidays, and any day without an official settlement, and it uses the first published settlement for that day even if CME later makes corrections. The deadline is the final trading day of June 2026, so the key ambiguity to watch is whether the threshold is reached in the active contract month before that cutoff.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $162.2K in 24h volume, and $175.8K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

-2.3%
24h Vol
$23.1K
Liquidity
$99.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
+0.2%
24h Vol
$31.1K
Liquidity
$109.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$30.2K
Liquidity
$57.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$635.7K
Liquidity
$54.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-0.2%
24h Vol
$17.5K
Liquidity
$50.8K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market