
0%
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
24h Vol
$474.1K
Liquidity
$20.1K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $450 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $115.2 in 24h volume, and $9.2K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$115.2
Liquidity
$9.2K
This market asks whether Alphabet’s Class A shares, trading under the GOOGL ticker, will print a one-minute high of at least $450 at any point during June 2026. Because the threshold is tied to an intramonth price spike rather than a month-end close, even a brief move during regular trading hours can determine the result.
The question here is straightforward: will any 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) show a published High price of $450 or higher between June 1 and June 30, 2026? The market resolves from Pyth’s GOOGL/USD equity feed using 1-minute candles, and only highs reached during normal U.S. stock market hours count. If Alphabet’s stock goes through a split or similar corporate action during the period, the threshold and price history are adjusted on a split-adjusted basis.
A month-long price target like this depends on both broad market conditions and company-specific catalysts, so the outcome is not just about where GOOGL starts the month. Traders may disagree on whether Alphabet can make a large enough intramonth move to reach $450, especially since the market is asking about an exact printed high rather than a sustained level. That creates uncertainty around how far the stock can rally and whether any surge will happen inside regular trading hours.
For this market, the most important drivers are events that can sharply reprice Alphabet shares during June 2026, such as an earnings reaction, a major company filing, guidance changes, regulatory developments, or a broad tech-sector rally or selloff. Because the threshold is a single intraday high, even a short-lived jump on news or market-wide volatility could matter more than where the stock finishes the day. Corporate actions like a split would also directly change how the $450 target is interpreted under the market rules.
Related markets

0%
24h Vol
$474.1K
Liquidity
$20.1K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the exact resolution source: Pyth’s Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) equity feed at the 1-minute candle level, with attention to the published High value during regular trading hours only. Pre-market and after-hours prints do not count, and the market uses prices exactly as published by Pyth without rounding. The key details to verify are the candle timestamp, whether the high occurred inside 9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET, and whether any split-adjustment rules were triggered before the end of June 2026.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $450 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $115.2 in 24h volume, and $9.2K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
1.6%
No
98.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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