
+0.2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$323.2K
Spread
0%
7/29/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 45%, $3.1K in 24h volume, and $3.7K in liquidity.
Probability
45%
24h Volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
$3.7K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 45%, $3.1K in 24h volume, and $3.7K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
45%
No
55%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets

+0.2%
24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$323.2K
Spread
0%
7/29/2026
View marketProbability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 45%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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