Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $310.6K in 24h volume, and $12.7M in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$310.6K
Liquidity
$12.7M
This market asks whether Haiti will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the world’s biggest men’s national-team tournament. It is a very long-shot outcome, but the question is concrete: only the team that lifts the trophy at the end of the event resolves the market to Yes.
Haiti is one of the national teams that could, in principle, qualify for and compete in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which is scheduled to run through July 2026. The market resolves to Yes only if Haiti is the official tournament winner; if Haiti is eliminated at any stage where FIFA rules make victory impossible, it resolves to No immediately. If the tournament is canceled or still not finished by October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM, the market resolves to Other.
The uncertainty here is not about whether Haiti can enter the tournament, but whether it can survive qualification, the group stage, and the knockout bracket all the way to the title. World Cup winner markets draw attention because the field is large, the format is unforgiving, and a team must stay alive through multiple rounds of official elimination matches to remain in contention. For Haiti specifically, readers are usually weighing a very improbable title run against the reality that many teams are knocked out long before the final.
Price can move if Haiti’s qualification path becomes clearer or harder, if the final roster changes materially, or if the team is eliminated from World Cup contention in FIFA-sanctioned play. Once the tournament begins, official results matter most: every group-stage point, knockout draw, and elimination result changes whether Haiti can still win the title. Any FIFA ruling that affects tournament completion, cancellation, or the bracket structure could also affect settlement.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key things to verify are Haiti’s status in FIFA qualification and, if it reaches the tournament, whether it is still mathematically alive under FIFA’s official rules. The market uses FIFA as the primary source of truth, with credible consensus reporting as a backup, so the relevant documents are official tournament results, bracket status, and any FIFA announcements about delays or cancellation. Readers should also keep the deadline in mind: if the 2026 World Cup is not completed by October 13, 2026, the market does not resolve to a team winner but to Other.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $310.6K in 24h volume, and $12.7M in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 20, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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