culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$121.7K
Liquidity
$35.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 21%, $137.5K in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
Probability
21%
24h Volume
$137.5K
Liquidity
$6K
This market asks whether Hyperliquid’s HYPEUSDT contract on Binance will print a one-minute low of $20 or below before the end of 2026. It is a straightforward price-level question, but the answer depends on a very specific exchange feed and candle setting, so the exact source matters as much as the headline level.
The title names Hyperliquid, the native token commonly referred to as HYPE, and the threshold is $20 by December 31, 2026. Resolution is not based on average price, spot price, or an end-of-day close; it is triggered if any Binance HYPEUSDT 1-minute candle has a final Low at or below $20 during the specified window. The market uses Binance futures chart data with 1-minute candles selected, and the deadline is the end of 2026 in ET, which corresponds to the market’s listed close at 2027-01-01T05:00:00Z.
Hyperliquid has been a closely watched crypto asset, so traders may disagree about whether it can stay above a round-number support level or revisit $20 during a volatile stretch. The uncertainty is not just about the token’s long-term direction; it is about whether intraday trading on Binance will ever touch that exact threshold before the deadline. Because the market resolves on a single exchange’s candle data, readers are really pricing both the asset’s price path and the chance of a brief wick lower than the headline level.
Anything that changes HYPE’s trading range on Binance can move this market, especially sharp crypto-wide rallies or selloffs that push the token toward a round number like $20. Large moves in broader market sentiment, liquidity, or trading activity can matter because the rule looks at the lowest one-minute candle, not just where the token finishes a day. A quick intraday spike down, even if it reverses immediately, would be enough to settle this market to Yes if Binance records the low at or below the target.
Related markets
-0.3%
24h Vol
$121.7K
Liquidity
$35.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 21% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is the resolution source: Binance HYPEUSDT on the futures chart with 1-minute candles, and the candle’s final Low field. Other exchanges, other pairs, or spot-market prices do not count, so a similar move elsewhere would not change the outcome unless Binance shows the required low. Readers should also pay attention to the timezone cutoff in ET and the fact that the market can resolve early if the threshold is hit at any point in the stated window, even if the token later trades far above $20.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 21%, $137.5K in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
20.5%
No
79.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPEUSDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance HYPEUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 21%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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