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Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
24h Vol
$669.8K
Liquidity
$12.6K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?. The market currently shows a live probability of 99%, $434.1 in 24h volume, and $6.1K in liquidity.
Probability
99%
24h Volume
$434.1
Liquidity
$6.1K
This market asks whether "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" will be the No. 1 song on Billboard’s Hot 100 for the chart titled "Week of June 20, 2026." It is centered on one specific weekly chart, so the key question is whether that song finishes at the top when Billboard publishes that edition.
The resolution point is the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for "Week of June 20, 2026," published on Billboard’s website or another official Billboard channel. Billboard’s Hot 100 is the weekly ranking of songs in the U.S., and this market will be decided by whichever track is listed at No. 1 on that exact chart. If Billboard does not publish the relevant chart within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, the market resolves to "Other."
There is uncertainty because weekly chart outcomes depend on a mix of sales, streaming, and radio activity during the charting period, and a song’s final position can shift as the week closes and Billboard updates its ranking. The market is essentially pricing disagreement over whether this Taylor Swift-titled track will hold enough momentum to finish first on that specific chart week.
The biggest price moves would come from signs that the song is outperforming competing releases in the charting week, especially if it is getting strong streaming traction or sales support ahead of the cutoff. Any change in release timing, eligibility, or the appearance of a rival song with unusually strong chart activity could also matter, because the market is tied to a single Billboard chart snapshot rather than a long-term trend.
The current market price implies roughly a 99% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+0.1%
24h Vol
$669.8K
Liquidity
$12.6K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is the exact Billboard chart dated "Week of June 20, 2026" and the No. 1 entry on that page, since that official listing is the source of truth. Readers should also watch the release schedule: Billboard usually posts the Hot 100 on Tuesdays, but holiday weeks can shift timing, and the market has a fallback to "Other" if the chart is not published within 14 days of the expected release date. Because the title names a specific song and artist, it is worth confirming that the exact phrasing in the market matches the track being counted by Billboard.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?. The market currently shows a live probability of 99%, $434.1 in 24h volume, and $6.1K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
99%
No
1.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 16, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of June 20, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 99%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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