Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1M in 24h volume, and $4.6M in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$1M
Liquidity
$4.6M
This market asks whether Ivory Coast will finish as the champion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It is a long-shot sports question because only one national team can win the tournament, and Ivory Coast would need to qualify, survive the group stage, and keep advancing through the knockout rounds to reach the title.
The outcome here is tied to the official winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with FIFA’s final result as the main source of truth. If Ivory Coast is eliminated at any point under FIFA’s rules, the market resolves immediately to “No,” since the team would no longer be able to win the tournament. If the World Cup is canceled or still not completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM, the market resolves to “Other.”
Ivory Coast is a strong football nation, but winning a World Cup is a much higher bar than competing well in qualifying or at continental tournaments. The market reflects the uncertainty around whether a specific national team can run through a full World Cup field, where one loss in the knockout stage can end the bid. Readers are effectively weighing Ivory Coast’s chance against the depth of the global field and the difficulty of navigating the tournament format.
Anything that changes Ivory Coast’s path to the tournament or its strength once the tournament begins can matter here, especially qualification results, the official final roster, injuries to key players, and the draw for the group stage and knockout bracket. Once the World Cup starts, results from Ivory Coast’s matches will be the biggest driver, because elimination would settle the market to “No” right away. Updates from FIFA about schedule changes, format, or the tournament’s completion status could also affect settlement if the event is delayed or interrupted.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market resolves, the key things to verify are whether Ivory Coast qualifies, whether FIFA has officially completed the 2026 World Cup, and whether Ivory Coast is still alive in the competition. The rules say FIFA’s official information is the primary source, though credible consensus reporting may be used if needed, so readers should pay attention to the tournament bracket, elimination status, and any official statement about cancellation or completion. The hard deadline matters too: if the event is not completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM, the market does not stay open indefinitely and instead resolves to “Other.”
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1M in 24h volume, and $4.6M in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
0.5%
No
99.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 20, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
