Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?. The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, $55.3K in 24h volume, and $18.3K in liquidity.
Probability
46%
24h Volume
$55.3K
Liquidity
$18.3K
This market asks whether Jalen Brunson will be the player named 2026 NBA Finals MVP. It is tied to the NBA Finals, where the league’s championship series ends with one player receiving the Finals Most Valuable Player award, usually the standout from the winning team.
The outcome is settled by the official NBA Finals MVP announcement for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. Jalen Brunson, best known as the lead guard and primary scorer for the New York Knicks, would need to be the league’s chosen Finals MVP for this market to resolve “Yes.” If the playoffs are canceled, delayed past June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by then, the market resolves to “Other” under the rules provided.
There is uncertainty because Finals MVP is not decided ahead of time and depends on who reaches the NBA Finals, how the series unfolds, and which player is judged most valuable in the championship round. Brunson is a prominent high-usage creator, so the market is effectively pricing whether he can lead his team deep enough into the playoffs and then outperform other possible finalists in the title series. The result can hinge as much on team success and matchup context as on individual scoring totals.
The biggest price moves will usually come from Brunson’s availability, workload, and postseason form, along with the Knicks’ chances of reaching the Finals at all. Changes in playoff seeding, injuries to key teammates or opponents, and how Brunson performs in high-leverage games can all shift the market because Finals MVP almost always comes from the championship team. Any official NBA award decision, tie outcome, or multiple-winner edge case described in the rules would also determine settlement.
The current market price implies roughly a 46% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should watch the official NBA Finals MVP announcement and confirm that the award is being handed out for the 2026 NBA Finals under normal league rules. The key settlement details are the June 30, 2026 cutoff, the NBA as the primary source of truth, and the special rule that if multiple winners are announced the market uses the listed last name order to break the tie. If the playoffs are altered, delayed, or end without a declared winner by the deadline, the market resolves to “Other,” so those timing details matter as much as the on-court result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?. The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, $55.3K in 24h volume, and $18.3K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
46.4%
No
53.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 17, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NBA Finals Most Valuable Player award for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 46%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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