Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $1.2K in 24h volume, and $14.8K in liquidity.

Track live world event prediction markets focused on geopolitics, international relations, global conflicts, diplomacy, and major worldwide developments.

This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.