culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$153.4K
Liquidity
$148.9K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Morgan Wallen be the top Spotify artist for 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $2.3 in 24h volume, and $12.9K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$2.3
Liquidity
$12.9K
This market asks whether Morgan Wallen will finish 2026 as Spotify’s most streamed artist, based on Spotify’s own year-end Wrapped-style announcement. It is worth watching because Spotify’s top-artist list is one of the clearest public signals of who dominated the platform over a full year, and Wallen is a major mainstream name in country and pop crossover listening.
The event is specific: Spotify must name the top artist for 2026 in an official year-end release, and that named artist determines the outcome. If Spotify does not publish the 2026 top artist by January 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No. The market is tied to Spotify’s official reporting, typically associated with Spotify Wrapped, not to press speculation or third-party estimates.
Morgan Wallen is the subject because he has been one of the most prominent streaming acts in recent years, but Spotify’s year-end top spot can shift depending on a full year of listening across all genres and global audiences. The uncertainty is whether he will outpace other major artists over the entire 2026 calendar year, and the market is essentially pricing the chance that Spotify’s official list will put his name first.
Price can move if Spotify’s annual listening data, Wrapped rollout, or any official teaser points toward a different leading artist for 2026. Broader cultural momentum, major album cycles, tour-driven listening, or a breakout run by another superstar can all affect expectations, but only Spotify’s final published ranking will settle the market. Because the resolution depends on a single named result, even small shifts in who appears most likely to dominate streaming can move the odds.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.3%
24h Vol
$153.4K
Liquidity
$148.9K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, readers should watch for Spotify’s official year-end release and confirm the exact wording of the top-artist ranking for 2026. The key source of truth is Spotify itself, and the market does not rely on charts, rumors, or incomplete platform data. The main ambiguity risk is timing: if Spotify delays the announcement beyond January 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market is set to No regardless of later releases.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Morgan Wallen be the top Spotify artist for 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $2.3 in 24h volume, and $12.9K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.7%
No
99.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026. If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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