Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

What this market is about

The event in question is the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey, where FIFA has confirmed the first World Cup halftime show will be produced by Global Citizen. For this market to resolve Yes, Nicki Minaj must perform live and in person during that halftime show; a guest appearance counts, even if she does not sing a full set. If she does not appear, or if the show is cancelled, postponed, or moved beyond September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves No.

Why the market exists

The uncertainty here is not about whether the halftime show will happen, but about which artist, if any, will be part of it and whether Nicki Minaj will be among them. Because the market names a specific performer at a single scheduled event, the main question is whether she is officially included in the final lineup or shows up unexpectedly on the day. Readers care because the answer depends on the show’s booking and the actual live appearance, not on general speculation about the World Cup or the artist’s career.

What can move the price

The biggest price moves would come from official casting announcements, credible reporting about the halftime lineup, or any confirmation that Nicki Minaj is rehearsing for or excluded from the show. Changes in the event itself also matter: if the halftime show format changes, the performance is cancelled, or the final is rescheduled, that directly affects settlement. Since the market resolves from footage of the halftime show, a visible on-stage appearance by Nicki Minaj is the key fact that would settle the contract toward Yes.

How to read the current probability